ROLE OF MARKET TRANSFORMATION STRATEGIES IN ACHIEVING A MORE SUSTAINABLE ENERGY FUTURE
Steven Nadel and Linda Latham
March 1998
Introduction
The United States is plagued with a variety of environmental problems that
are directly attributable to our energy consumption. We still rely heavily
on fossil fuels to meet our energy needs, and the air emissions from power
plants contribute significantly to climate change, acid rain, smog, and a
variety of health afflictions such as respiratory disease. Global treaties
on climate change, new U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) air quality
standards, and growing scientific understanding of the health impacts of
air pollution are now forcing us to look more closely at possible changes
to our energy mix and consumption habits.
Energy is important for powering our economy but current evidence suggests
that we do not consume it as efficiently as we could. A recent study prepared
for the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) by five national laboratories estimated
that the United States could reduce its carbon dioxide emissions by more
than 20 percent without increasing cost if we just made use of available
technologies (Interlaboratory Working Group 1997). Research and development
(R&D) efforts could improve technology options further and produce additional
improvements in national energy efficiency and the environment.
Furthermore, energy-saving technologies contribute to a stronger economy.
They lower the annual energy costs borne by businesses and consumers, thereby
freeing up funds for other profitable purposes. A 1997 analysis estimated
that implementation of a sustainable development energy strategy, instead
of a business-as-usual strategy, would result in net gains of nearly 800,000
jobs, nationwide, by 2010 (ASE et al. 1997).
In addition, energy-saving technologies can help reduce dependence on energy
imports. As experience with the 1973 oil embargo, the 1979 Iran-Iraq War,
and the 1992 Kuwait-Iraq war showed, dependence on energy imports can be
highly disruptive to the United States. Overall, Greene and Leiby (1993)
estimate that our dependence on imports, and the partial monopolization of
the world oil market that this abets, has already cost the U.S. economy $4
trillion over the 1972-1991 period. Unfortunately, in 1997, oil imports reached
an all-time high, with net imports (imports minus exports) reaching 48 percent
of total U.S. oil demand (EIA 1998).
The fact that there exists such a large potential for cost-effective energy
efficiency investments implies that our markets are not operating effectively.
A variety of factors have contributed to this unfortunate situation. After
the energy crisis of the 1970's became a distant memory to most Americans,
interest in our energy-consuming habits waned. Today most Americans do not
think much about their energy use, nor are they aware of the significant
environmental and social costs. A variety of institutional, transactional,
and other barriers further hinder the market's ability to produce a logical
outcome (for a discussion of these barriers, see Golove and Eto 1996; Hirst
and Brown 1990).
Recognizing the inadequacies of the market with regard to energy-saving measures,
governments have commonly used a broad array of regulatory and voluntary
mechanisms to promote energy-saving investments and actions that are in the
public interest. This has included education and technical assistance programs,
utility rebates and other demand-side interventions, building codes, and
minimum efficiency standards. However, in many cases, these past efforts
have focused on short-term objectives and not on addressing underlying market
barriers that hinder the long-term adoption of cost-effective energy-saving
measures. And many of these activities have been conducted in isolation from
similar activities conducted by others.
In order to address these limitations with traditional program approaches,
a growing number of practitioners and policy-makers are adopting a "market
transformation" framework that attempts to incorporate the best features
of, and improve the coordination between, market-based and regulatory approaches.
In fact, as discussed below, state policy-makers are increasingly embracing
the market transformation concept and a growing number of states have established
special funding for new market transformation programs as part of utility
restructuring policies.
This report is intended to help policy-makers and program implementers better
understand the market transformation approach. It offers some principles
for the design of market transformation strategies, and also includes some
suggestions for improve the effectiveness of efforts already underway. We
begin, in Section II, by defining the term market transformation and illustrating
how the market transformation approach can work. In Section III we review
market transformation policies in a variety of states and discuss some of
the key players. In Section IV we discuss the different stages of planning
and implementing a market transformation strategy, from selecting targets
to exit strategies. In Section V, we present a variety of case studies to
answer the question of whether market transformation strategies really work.
Finally, in Sections VI and VII we discuss challenges/issues for the future
and our overall conclusions and recommendations.
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43 pps., 1998, $14.00, U983
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