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Monday Plenary With Severin Borenstein: Taking Economics Seriously In U.S. Energy Policy


August 17, 2010 - 2:21am

“We face a series of energy challenges,” said Monday’s plenary speaker, economist Severin Borenstein of the Haas School of Business at U.C. Berkeley. He is often called to speak to groups about these challenges when energy prices are high, and he is less popular as a speaker when prices go down. To individuals, high energy prices are a problem, but this doesn’t represent a market failure according to him. Market failures exist when the price of oil does not reflect the real macroeconomic, geopolitical, and environmental costs associated with its purchase and use.

In the United States, we import two-thirds of our oil from other countries, many that are not interested in our mutual wellbeing, and many whose leaders use oil revenue to enrich themselves and oppress their people. We sometimes go to war with these countries. And our dependence on fossil fuels such as oil is degrading our environment.

So what is a government to do? The best choice according to Borenstein, is to tax “brown” energy, energy that costs us too much environmentally and in the other ways mentioned above. But people want their oil and gas cheap, and there is no political will to initiate carbon taxes right now in the United States or elsewhere. So the second best choice, which is the best choice in these circumstances, is to use information, regulation, and subsidies for green energy and green jobs. The trick is to know in what circumstances to apply what solution, and how to apply that solution.

Information can empower consumers to make better choices, but in some situations limiting consumer choice through regulation and standards is the better choice. Borenstein used the example of baby food. No one wants to choose between baby food certified fit for human consumption and the other kind. And subsidies can be good, but not subsidies that artificially favor one technology over another. Subsidies that attempt to pick a winner would only work if at the stage of research and development some government official could reliably know which technologies will survive the “valley of death” and make it successfully to the market. But government support of certain research and development that could have broad application in the market is good. Borenstein used the example of PV. The technology has matured through its infancy as part of the NASA space program, and through advances in integrated circuit, or “chip” design that took place largely through private companies in Silicon Valley.

Borenstein calls himself cynical, but maybe it is better to call him a realist—a very knowledgeable and articulate realist who people in charge of government energy policy should listen to.

Comments

Quackery

Raising taxes and limiting consumer choice has never been proven to drive innovation. It won't work for the 'green energy sector' either.

Governments waste scarce tax dollars trying to pick economic winners. Think of Germany and PV. Only would a government put so much of the world's PV technology in a place that receives so little solar radiation. And Germany's reward for taking the lead? Gas plants everywhere in the short term (to provide reliable energy). And over time, Chinese manufacturing will overtake Germany's manufacturing of solar cells because of the inherent Chinese comparative advantage of cheap labor and low exchange rates. What a great deal for the German tax payer.

What's the problem with getting cheap oil out of the ground now while we still can? The countries we purchase oil from have historically re-invested most of the revenues back into Western capital markets anyway. The political costs are not unknown, and not unmanageable. Besides, the West has mostly retained the specialized knowledge and technology required to drill and refine the stuff anyway. Why is everyone so afraid of buying mid-east oil as if it empowers US 'enemies'?

A true realist would understand that it's better to buy oil cheap from producers now, take as much as we want/need, pay for it happily, and retain the technology and knowledge required to process it. If the US decides to purchase expensive 'green' energy instead, oil producers will turn to China to sell their goods. This is a much greater strategic threat to the US compared to handing over a few paltry billions in revenue over to some Mid-East dictator. (Who is highly likely to spend most of those revenues on Western purchases anyway.)

Bottom line: We can develop green energy technology, and we don't need to rely on Government control to make it happen.

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